Rice vs Memphis Predictions 2025 Picks, and Best Bets Tigers Have Trouble Getting Back on Beam

The Memphis Tigers will host the Rice Owls at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis on Friday, November 8, 2025, at 9:00 p.m. ET. Memphis is coming off a tough 44-36 loss to UTSA that effectively dashed their College Football Playoff (CFP) hopes. With their attention now focused on securing an American Athletic Conference (AAC) title, the Tigers face a challenging test against a resilient Rice team. The Owls, fresh off an upset victory over Navy, have proven they can hang with some of the top teams in the conference and are looking to throw a wrench in Memphis’ title aspirations.

Rice vs Memphis Predictions 2025

Rice enters the game as a 9.5-point underdog, but their top-tier defense, which ranks 23rd in the nation in total yards allowed, gives them a legitimate chance to make it a close contest. Memphis’ potent offense, led by quarterback Seth Henigan, will face a stiff challenge in trying to break through Rice’s stout pass defense, which ranks among the best in the AAC. Despite recent struggles, the Tigers have the edge in talent, but this emotional letdown game could give the Owls an opening to pull off another upset. Here’s a breakdown of key details and predictions for the Rice vs. Memphis matchup, along with betting trends and analysis.

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Rice vs Memphis Predictions Game Overview

Category Rice Owls Memphis Tigers
Date November 8, 2025 November 8, 2025
Time 9:00 PM ET 9:00 PM ET
Location Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis, TN Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis, TN
TV ESPN2 ESPN2
Spread Rice +9.5 Memphis -9.5
Over/Under 50.5 50.5

Rice vs Memphis Predictions Recent Performance

Team Last Game Result Record in Last 5 Games
Rice Owls Win vs. Navy, 24-10 3-2
Memphis Tigers Loss vs. UTSA, 44-36 2-3

Key Players to Watch

Player Position Key Stats
Seth Henigan Quarterback, Memphis 454 yards, 4 TDs vs. UTSA
Mario Anderson Jr. Running Back, Memphis 14 TDs, 117+ yards in 4 of last 5 games
Rice Defense Defense, Rice Top 10 in pass defense, 159.2 yards per game allowed
Landon Ransom-Goelz Wide Receiver, Rice Questionable – Injury

Rice vs Memphis Spread Analysis

Team Spread Odds
Rice Owls +9.5 -119
Memphis Tigers -9.5 -110

Over/Under Prediction

Total Points Over/Under Prediction
50.5 Over/Under Under (Rice’s defense is strong)

Rice vs Memphis Betting Trends

Trend Rice Owls Memphis Tigers
Last 4 games as Underdog 3-1-0 ATS
Last 6 games as Favorite 1-5-0 ATS
Last 11 games against conference opponents 10/11 Over total

Same-Game Parlay (SGP) Analysis

Bet Type Bet Odds
Rice Spread Rice +9.5 -115
Henigan Passing Yards Under 273.5 passing yards -110
Mario Anderson Rushing Yards Over 109.5 rushing yards -110
Parlay Total +515

Injury Report

Player Position Status
Marcello Bussey WR Out (Undisclosed)
Demeer Blankumsee WR Questionable (Undisclosed)
Sutton Smith RB Out (Leg)
Boden Groen TE Questionable (Undisclosed)
Landon Ransom-Goelz WR Questionable (Undisclosed)

Offensive vs. Defensive Comparison

Category Rice Owls (Defense) Memphis Tigers (Offense)
Total Yards Allowed 23rd in Nation 26th in Nation
Passing Yards Allowed 159.2 per game 282.9 per game
Points Allowed per Game 23.3 per game 34.2 per game
Rush Defense 84th in Nation 157.9 yards per game

Road vs. Home Performance

Team Road Performance Home Performance
Rice Owls 0-4 on the road
Memphis Tigers 5-0 at home 2-3 against the spread

Pass Defense vs. Pass Offense

Team Pass Defense Rank Pass Offense Rank
Rice Owls 10th in AAC, 159.2 yards allowed 21st in Nation, 282.9 yards per game
Memphis Tigers 21st in Nation, 282.9 yards per game

Memphis Turnover Margin

Team Turnovers per Game Takeaways per Game Turnover Margin
Memphis Tigers 1.3 1.1 -0.2
Rice Owls 1.2 1.5 +0.3

Rice vs Memphis Total Yards

Team Total Yards per Game Yards Allowed per Game
Rice Owls 391.6 348.2
Memphis Tigers 439.7 389.6

Betting Odds Details

Bet Type Rice Owls Memphis Tigers
Spread +9.5 (-119) -9.5 (-110)
Moneyline +253 -275
Over/Under 50.5 (Under) 52.0 (Over)

Game Prediction Conclusion

Prediction Rice Owls Memphis Tigers
Predicted Outcome Close Game Memphis Victory
Key Factor Rice Defense vs. Memphis Offense Emotional Letdown for Memphis

Rice vs Memphis Predictions Summary

In conclusion, this Rice vs. Memphis matchup has all the makings of a hard-fought game. Memphis, despite being the more talented team, could struggle to shake off the disappointment of last week’s loss. Rice, with its stout defense and recent upset victories, will aim to keep things close. Given Memphis’ struggles against the spread and Rice’s strong recent performances, betting on Rice to cover the spread could be the best play here.

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